Arouca - Estoril. Betting tips, match predictions, statistics (13.1.2017)

Arouca

 Portugal»Primeira Liga

City: Arouca

Stadium: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (7 000)

Date: 13.1.2017

Time: 20:30 (GMT+1)

Estoril

Betting tips and preview for the match between Arouca & Estoril (Portugal»Primeira Liga), which will take place on Friday, January 13 at 20:30 (GMT). Bookies consider that Arouca are favorites with a chance to win of 50.3% and offer an odd 1.99. Our prediction on this game: Arouca win 1:0.

Arouca - Estoril. Free Betting Tips

The last 5 matches of Arouca:

Tondela (A) - 2:1 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 8.1.2017

Varzim (H) - 3:0 Portugal»League Cup, 4.1.2017

Setubal (A) - 0:1 Portugal»League Cup, 29.12.2016

Guimaraes (H) - 0:1 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 23.12.2016

Moreirense (A) - 4:1 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 17.12.2016

The last 5 matches of Estoril:

Maritimo (H) - 0:1 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 7.1.2017

Chaves (A) - 0:1 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 22.12.2016

Benfica (H) - 0:1 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 17.12.2016

Sanjoanense (H) - 4:2 Portugal»Taça de Portugal, 14.12.2016

Setubal (A) - 0:2 Portugal»Primeira Liga, 9.12.2016

Team

Arouca

Estoril

Goals scored/conceded (per game)

9 (1.8) - 4 (0.8)

0 (0) - 5 (1)

Home/Away factor*

0.15

-0.48

Quality of odds**

0.23

0.03

Brier Score***

0.534

0.455

Free Bets

Bookies odds (1-X-2, average level):

1.99 - 3.21 - 4.01

(50% - 31% - 25%)

Payout: 94%

Value Bets (according to our own system):

1.88 - 3.69 - 5.05

(53.1% - 27.1% - 19.8%)

Reason For Betting Tips: Why should you bet on Arouca?

  • Arouca have scored more goals over the last 5 matches, than Estoril (9 vs 0)
  • Arouca have conceded fewer goals over the last 5 matches, than Estoril (4 vs 5)
  • Arouca have won more games over the last 5 matches, than Estoril (3 vs 1)
  • Arouca home results are much more better, than away results (home factor is 0.15)
  • Arouca are underrated by bookies. It means, that over the last 5 matches odds for Arouca win were higher than real the value of probability of team victory (Quality of odds value is 0.23)
  • The likelihood of winning the bet on Arouca victory is 53.1%, but the average betting odds for this outcome is 1.99. So mathematical profit you can take advantage of 1.06 or 5.9%
  • Reason For Betting Tips: Why should you bet on Estoril?

  • Estoril are underrated by bookies. It means, that over the last 5 matches odds for Estoril win were higher than real the value of probability of team victory (Quality of odds value is 0.03)
  • Arouca - Estoril. Score prediction for the match from BookmakersRating.info

    Arouca - Estoril. Outcome prediction for the match from BookmakersRating.info

    Arouca - Estoril. Total goals prediction for the match from BookmakersRating.info

    *Home/Away factor: the higher the value, the better the team is playing at home/away; negative value for home team means that the team plays away from home better than at home; positive value for away team means that the team plays away from home better than at home

    **Quality of bookies odds: negative value means that the team was overrated by bookies; positive value means that the team was underrated by bookies

    ***Brier Score: shows the accuracy of probabilistic predictions; this can range between 0 (means a perfect guess) to 2 (means an imperfect guess); 0.667 is a benchmark Brier Score (when the probability of all outcomes is equal)