Leeds - Derby. Betting tips, match predictions, statistics (13.1.2017)

Leeds

 England»Championship

City: Leeds

Stadium: Elland Road (37 914)

Date: 13.1.2017

Time: 19:45 (GMT+1)

Derby

Preview and betting prediction for the match between Leeds & Derby (England»Championship), which will be held on Friday, January 13 at 19:45 (GMT). Bookies consider Leeds favorite in this game with a chance of victory 37.6% and offer an odd 2.66. Our prediction on this match: Leeds win 3:0.

Leeds - Derby. Free Betting Tips

The last 5 matches of Leeds:

Cambridge Utd (A) - 2:1 England»FA Cup, 9.1.2017

Rotherham (H) - 3:0 England»Championship, 2.1.2017

Aston Villa (A) - 1:1 England»Championship, 29.12.2016

Preston (A) - 4:1 England»Championship, 26.12.2016

Brentford (H) - 1:0 England»Championship, 17.12.2016

The last 5 matches of Derby:

West Brom (A) - 2:1 England»FA Cup, 7.1.2017

Norwich (A) - 0:3 England»Championship, 2.1.2017

Wigan (H) - 0:0 England»Championship, 31.12.2016

Birmingham (H) - 1:0 England»Championship, 27.12.2016

Fulham (A) - 2:2 England»Championship, 17.12.2016

Team

Leeds

Derby

Goals scored/conceded (per game)

11 (2.2) - 3 (0.6)

5 (1) - 6 (1.2)

Home/Away factor*

2.33

-0.63

Quality of odds**

0.55

0.35

Brier Score***

0.459

0.583

Free Bets

Bookies odds (1-X-2, average level):

2.66 - 3.06 - 2.83

(38% - 33% - 35%)

Payout: 94.7%

Value Bets (according to our own system):

1.41 - 4.27 - 17.54

(70.9% - 23.4% - 5.7%)

Reason For Betting Tips: Why should you bet on Leeds?

  • Leeds have scored more goals over the last 5 matches, than Derby (11 vs 5)
  • Leeds have conceded fewer goals over the last 5 matches, than Derby (3 vs 6)
  • Leeds have won more games over the last 5 matches, than Derby (4 vs 2)
  • Leeds home results are much more better, than away results (home factor is 2.33)
  • Leeds are underrated by bookies. It means, that over the last 5 matches odds for Leeds win were higher than real the value of probability of team victory (Quality of odds value is 0.55)
  • The likelihood of winning the bet on Leeds victory is 70.9%, but the average betting odds for this outcome is 2.66. So mathematical profit you can take advantage of 1.89 or 88.7%
  • Reason For Betting Tips: Why should you bet on Derby?

  • Derby are underrated by bookies. It means, that over the last 5 matches odds for Derby win were higher than real the value of probability of team victory (Quality of odds value is 0.35)
  • Leeds - Derby. Score prediction for the match from BookmakersRating.info

    Leeds - Derby. Outcome prediction for the match from BookmakersRating.info

    Leeds - Derby. Total goals prediction for the match from BookmakersRating.info

    *Home/Away factor: the higher the value, the better the team is playing at home/away; negative value for home team means that the team plays away from home better than at home; positive value for away team means that the team plays away from home better than at home

    **Quality of bookies odds: negative value means that the team was overrated by bookies; positive value means that the team was underrated by bookies

    ***Brier Score: shows the accuracy of probabilistic predictions; this can range between 0 (means a perfect guess) to 2 (means an imperfect guess); 0.667 is a benchmark Brier Score (when the probability of all outcomes is equal)